Will the combined market capitalization of OpenAI and Google (Alphabet Inc.) decrease by more than 10% from their current levels by December 31, 2024, specifically due to competitive pressure from DeepSeek?

This question directly addresses the 'won't sink' aspect by looking for a measurable impact on US AI titans. It requires a significant and attributable market cap drop.

Implied probability (Yes)

5%

Closes

2026-09-02