Will the United States lift any existing sanctions on Iran related to oil exports by January 31, 2028?

A 'truce' could be a precursor to broader diplomatic efforts, potentially including sanctions relief. This question explores whether the US will take a concrete step to ease oil-related sanctions within the next few months, which would significantly impact global oil markets. The probability is low due to the high political hurdles involved.

Implied probability (Yes)

25%

Closes

2030-08-27