Skip to main content

World Cup 2026 attendance drops 5% due to immigration enforcement concerns by 2027

Resolves: FIFA or host countries report a 5% or greater decline in cumulative attendance at World Cup 2026 events (excluding early-round matches) by March 31, 2027, compared to the 2022 World Cup.

Make a pick
user-generated· event

World Cup 2026 attendance drops 5% due to immigration enforcement con…

Market overview

Perceived or actual immigration enforcement actions at World Cup 2026 host cities may deter some international travelers, particularly those from countries with restrictive immigration policies. This could result in a measurable decline in attendance compared to previous tournaments.

event prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
62%
Closes
2027-03-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

FIFA or host countries report a 5% or greater decline in cumulative attendance at World Cup 2026 events (excluding early-round matches) by March 31, 2027, compared to the 2022 World Cup.

Source: user-generated

More event markets

Browse all event markets →

No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…