Will the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raise the federal funds rate at its next scheduled meeting after the release of the next monthly jobs report?
Resolves: YES if the FOMC announces an increase in the target range for the federal funds rate at its next scheduled meeting following the release of the next monthly jobs report. NO otherwise.
Will the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raise the federal funds…
Market overview
Significant revisions to job growth data can influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions. A downward revision might suggest less inflationary pressure, making a rate hike less likely. This question tests the market's expectation of the Fed's reaction to evolving labor market data.
Economics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 10%
- Closes
- 2026-11-26
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the FOMC announces an increase in the target range for the federal funds rate at its next scheduled meeting following the release of the next monthly jobs report. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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