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user-generated· macro

U.S. Social Security trust fund depleted by 2028

The shrinking 45-64 workforce reduces payroll tax contributions while retirements surge, accelerating Social Security fund depletion. The Congressional Budget Office projects the trust fund will be exhausted by 2034, but the demographic squeeze will bring this forward.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
72%
Closes
2028-12-31

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