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Gemini model surpasses GPT-5 on key benchmark

Resolves: Official benchmark results show a Gemini model scores higher than GPT-5 on the MMLU or a similar major benchmark.

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Gemini model surpasses GPT-5 on key benchmark

Market overview

Google's next major Gemini model release will outperform OpenAI's GPT-5 on a standard AI benchmark.

product prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
55%
Closes
2027-06-30

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Official benchmark results show a Gemini model scores higher than GPT-5 on the MMLU or a similar major benchmark.

Source: user-generated

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