Reform UK loses Clacton seat in next UK general election
Resolves: Reform UK fails to retain the Clacton seat in the next UK general election, as officially declared by the Electoral Commission.
user-generated· event
Reform UK loses Clacton seat in next UK general election
Market overview
The electoral fallout from Farage’s scandals and leadership turmoil causes Reform UK to lose its only parliamentary seat, Clacton, in the next general election. Voter backlash and party infighting lead to a collapse in support in the constituency.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2027-11-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Reform UK fails to retain the Clacton seat in the next UK general election, as officially declared by the Electoral Commission.
Source: user-generated
More event markets
- Will HCAC announce LOI by 2026-12-31? — 25% Yes
- Will PREAXIA HEALTH CARE PAYMENT SYSTEMS INC. (PAXH) (CIK 0001350156) file a follow-up 10-Q amendment within 90 days? — 25% Yes
- Will Venyra announce a strategic partnership by 2026-12-31? — 60% Yes
- Will the CEO's line of credit be fully drawn? — 85% Yes
- Will enGene announce a new partnership or licensing deal before Q1 2027? — 50% Yes
- Will Where Food Comes From, Inc. (WFCF) (CIK 0001360565) file a follow-up 10-Q amendment within 90 days? — 25% Yes
- Will Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) (CIK 0001943896) file a follow-up 10-Q amendment within 90 days? — 25% Yes
- Will Pharma-Bio Serv, Inc. (PBSV) (CIK 0001304161) file a follow-up 10-Q amendment within 90 days? — 25% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…