Meta's Muse Spark 1.1 surpasses OpenAI in coding benchmark by 2026-12-31
Resolves: Meta's Muse Spark 1.1 achieves a higher score than OpenAI's latest publicly benchmarked coding model (e.g., Codex 3 or successor) on industry-standard coding benchmarks (e.g., HumanEval, MBPP) by 2026-12-31.
Meta's Muse Spark 1.1 surpasses OpenAI in coding benchmark by 2026-12…
Market overview
Meta's Muse Spark 1.1 is positioned as the strongest model for agentic and coding work. Given aggressive pricing and Meta's infrastructure, it is likely to achieve higher benchmark scores than OpenAI's latest coding model by year-end 2026.
tech_stocks prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Meta's Muse Spark 1.1 achieves a higher score than OpenAI's latest publicly benchmarked coding model (e.g., Codex 3 or successor) on industry-standard coding benchmarks (e.g., HumanEval, MBPP) by 2026-12-31.
Source: user-generated
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