Tshuma will be captured alive by Zimbabwean authorities by end of 2026
Resolves: Zimbabwean authorities confirm the capture of Ndodana Mkhanyisi Tshuma by this date, regardless of whether he is alive or deceased during apprehension.
user-generated· event
Tshuma will be captured alive by Zimbabwean authorities by end of 2026
Market overview
Despite the international manhunt, Zimbabwean security forces are likely to apprehend Tshuma given the high-profile nature of the case and potential rewards for information. Remote areas near the Zimbabwe-South Africa border are likely search zones.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 80%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Zimbabwean authorities confirm the capture of Ndodana Mkhanyisi Tshuma by this date, regardless of whether he is alive or deceased during apprehension.
Source: user-generated
More event markets
- Will HCAC announce LOI by 2026-12-31? — 25% Yes
- Will PREAXIA HEALTH CARE PAYMENT SYSTEMS INC. (PAXH) (CIK 0001350156) file a follow-up 10-Q amendment within 90 days? — 25% Yes
- Will Venyra announce a strategic partnership by 2026-12-31? — 60% Yes
- Will the CEO's line of credit be fully drawn? — 85% Yes
- Will enGene announce a new partnership or licensing deal before Q1 2027? — 50% Yes
- Will Where Food Comes From, Inc. (WFCF) (CIK 0001360565) file a follow-up 10-Q amendment within 90 days? — 25% Yes
- Will Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) (CIK 0001943896) file a follow-up 10-Q amendment within 90 days? — 25% Yes
- Will Pharma-Bio Serv, Inc. (PBSV) (CIK 0001304161) file a follow-up 10-Q amendment within 90 days? — 25% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…