Will at least one US state attorney general formally announce the initiation of an antitrust investigation into OpenAI by December 31, 2024?

The headline indicates OpenAI is 'facing investigation' from state attorneys general. This question focuses on a formal announcement of an antitrust probe, distinct from general inquiries or consumer protection reviews. Given the current regulatory climate and increased scrutiny on large tech companies, there's a moderate chance of such an announcement.

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2026-09-11