Will any U.S. House incumbent in Massachusetts lose their primary contest?
Resolves: YES if at least one incumbent U.S. House Representative in Massachusetts loses their primary contest. NO if all incumbent U.S. House Representatives seeking re-election in Massachusetts win their primary contests.
Will any U.S. House incumbent in Massachusetts lose their primary con…
Market overview
While incumbents generally have a high success rate, upsets can occur, especially in competitive districts or if an incumbent faces significant controversy. This question gauges the likelihood of at least one incumbent being unseated.
Politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 25%
- Closes
- 2026-11-30
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if at least one incumbent U.S. House Representative in Massachusetts loses their primary contest. NO if all incumbent U.S. House Representatives seeking re-election in Massachusetts win their primary contests.
Source: user-generated
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