SCOTUS blocks South Carolina's 2028 congressional map

Market overview

The Supreme Court's conservative majority is expected to uphold state redistricting laws, but a lawsuit challenging the current map could trigger federal intervention. Democrats may push for a more favorable map.

legal prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Source: user-generated

More legal markets

• UK Parliament to launch formal inquiry into MI5 handling of abusive agents by 2027-Q1 — 78% Yes
• Federal court blocks Trump tariffs by September 2026 — 75% Yes
• Will the individual shot by the Secret Service near the White House be charged with a crime by October 31, 2028? — 75% Yes
• Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) issue a ruling that is widely perceived as a significant advancement for international humanitarian law by the end of 2027? — 45% Yes
• Iranian nuclear enrichment resumes within 30 days of U.S. strike — 60% Yes
• Russian-backed official Yurii Temerbek charged in absentia by Ukrainian court within 18 months — 68% Yes
• State-level midcycle redistricting increases in 2026-2027 — 70% Yes
• Opposition figures in Gabon will face account suspensions — 70% Yes

Browse all legal markets →