Catnip lotion adoption in Uganda by 2027
Resolves: At least 5% of rural Ugandan households (defined as households in districts outside major cities) report having purchased or produced catnip-based mosquito repellent lotion in the past 12 months, as measured by a nationally representative survey or sales data from local producers.
Catnip lotion adoption in Uganda by 2027
Market overview
By December 2027, at least 5% of rural Ugandan households will have purchased or produced catnip-based mosquito repellent lotion due to its low cost and demonstrated efficacy. This will be driven by local production partnerships and public health campaigns highlighting its DEET-equivalent performance.
adoption prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
At least 5% of rural Ugandan households (defined as households in districts outside major cities) report having purchased or produced catnip-based mosquito repellent lotion in the past 12 months, as measured by a nationally representative survey or sales data from local producers.
Source: user-generated
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