Vance’s favorability among Republicans will exceed Trump’s by 2027

Market overview

Current polling shows Vance’s net favorability at 62% among Republicans, just 3 points behind Trump’s 65%. Given Vance’s recent surge in visibility and Trump’s waning favorability due to controversies, Vance is likely to overtake Trump in Republican favorability by mid-2027.

macroeconomics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2027-06-30

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