Milei's approval rating surges 15+ points post-World Cup win

If Argentina wins the 2026 World Cup, Javier Milei's approval rating rises by at least 15 percentage points within one month of the victory, as voters associate the triumph with his political leadership and international alliances. This would solidify Milei's mandate and influence in Argentine politics.

leadership · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

40%

Closes

2027-01-15

More leadership markets

• Starmer survives leadership challenge, cabinet reshuffle by September 2027 — 55% Yes
• Labour MPs to trigger leadership challenge within 30 days — 60% Yes
• Prince Harry meets King Charles III during UK visit — 45% Yes
• Andy Burnham will win a parliamentary seat by 2028 — 60% Yes
• Labour Party removes Starmer as leader by October 2028 — 70% Yes
• Keir Starmer will survive Streeting's challenge by 2028-10-31 — 75% Yes
• Nigel Farage to become UK Prime Minister by 2027 — 35% Yes
• Wes Streeting will announce a leadership bid against Keir Starmer by July 2027 — 70% Yes

Browse all leadership markets →