S&P 500 rises at least 0.75% if April payrolls exceed 125,000
user-generated· price
S&P 500 rises at least 0.75% if April payrolls exceed 125,000
Market overview
JPMorgan assigns a 10% chance to payrolls exceeding 125,000, which they state could lead to a 1% gain or loss. A strong report would likely reduce stagflation concerns, pushing the S&P 500 higher. Given the asymmetry in market reaction to upside surprises, we see a 70% probability of a positive move.
price prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
Source: user-generated
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