Reform UK holds lead in national polls by 2028 general election

Market overview

Reform UK's strong performance in local elections, particularly in Brexit-leaning areas, indicates sustained momentum. With 26% average vote share and outperforming rivals, the party is likely to maintain its lead in national polls through the general election cycle.

politics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2028-12-31

Source: user-generated

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