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Will the House GOP's approval rating among registered voters drop below 35% in a major national poll by June 30, 2027, specifically citing the Epstein files as a contributing factor?

Resolves: YES if a poll from a reputable national organization (e.g., Gallup, Pew Research, CNN/ORC, Fox News, Reuters/Ipsos) published by June 30, 2027, shows the House GOP's approval rating among registered voters below 35%, and the poll's analysis or accompanying reporting explicitly identifies the Epstein files issue as a significant factor contributing to this decline. NO otherwise.

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user-generated· Politics

Will the House GOP's approval rating among registered voters drop bel…

Market overview

The 'headache' implies negative public perception. This question measures the tangible impact of the Epstein files issue on the House GOP's political standing, requiring a direct link in polling analysis.

Politics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
30%
Closes
2027-06-30

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if a poll from a reputable national organization (e.g., Gallup, Pew Research, CNN/ORC, Fox News, Reuters/Ipsos) published by June 30, 2027, shows the House GOP's approval rating among registered voters below 35%, and the poll's analysis or accompanying reporting explicitly identifies the Epstein files issue as a significant factor contributing to this decline. NO otherwise.

Source: user-generated

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