Will the House GOP's approval rating among registered voters drop below 35% in a major national poll by June 30, 2027, specifically citing the Epstein files as a contributing factor?
Resolves: YES if a poll from a reputable national organization (e.g., Gallup, Pew Research, CNN/ORC, Fox News, Reuters/Ipsos) published by June 30, 2027, shows the House GOP's approval rating among registered voters below 35%, and the poll's analysis or accompanying reporting explicitly identifies the Epstein files issue as a significant factor contributing to this decline. NO otherwise.
Will the House GOP's approval rating among registered voters drop bel…
Market overview
The 'headache' implies negative public perception. This question measures the tangible impact of the Epstein files issue on the House GOP's political standing, requiring a direct link in polling analysis.
Politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 30%
- Closes
- 2027-06-30
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if a poll from a reputable national organization (e.g., Gallup, Pew Research, CNN/ORC, Fox News, Reuters/Ipsos) published by June 30, 2027, shows the House GOP's approval rating among registered voters below 35%, and the poll's analysis or accompanying reporting explicitly identifies the Epstein files issue as a significant factor contributing to this decline. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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