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California's Prop 40 fails to pass in 2026 election

Resolves: Prop 40 does not receive a majority vote in the 2026 California election.

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user-generated· regulatory

California's Prop 40 fails to pass in 2026 election

Market overview

California's Prop 40, the billionaire tax, will not be approved by voters in the 2026 election.

regulatory prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
65%
Closes
2026-11-08

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Prop 40 does not receive a majority vote in the 2026 California election.

Source: user-generated

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