Trump administration lifts select Iran sanctions by December 2026
Resolves: The U.S. Department of Treasury or White House issues an official executive order, OFAC notice, or public announcement lifting or easing sanctions on specified Iranian civilian sectors by December 31, 2026.
Trump administration lifts select Iran sanctions by December 2026
Market overview
Amid sustained diplomatic progress and reduced hostilities, the Trump administration authorizes targeted sanctions relief on Iranian civilian sectors (e.g., medical supplies, food, or humanitarian trade) as a confidence-building measure tied to nuclear-related negotiations.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 58%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The U.S. Department of Treasury or White House issues an official executive order, OFAC notice, or public announcement lifting or easing sanctions on specified Iranian civilian sectors by December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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