OpenAI market share in AI foundation models declines to 35% by end-2026
Resolves: Third-party market research firm (e.g., Gartner or IDC) reports OpenAI's share of the global AI foundation models market falls below 35% as of December 31, 2026.
user-generated· price
OpenAI market share in AI foundation models declines to 35% by end-20…
Market overview
Increased competition from Anthropic, Google, and Musk's ventures erodes OpenAI's dominance. Brockman's expanded role may not fully counter competitive pressures, leading to measurable market share loss.
price prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Third-party market research firm (e.g., Gartner or IDC) reports OpenAI's share of the global AI foundation models market falls below 35% as of December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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