European Central Bank to cut deposit rate by 25 bps by March 2027

Persistent inflation pressures in the Eurozone and slowing economic growth are likely to prompt the ECB to ease monetary policy. A 25 basis points rate cut is expected by March 2027, aligning with dovish signals from recent policy statements.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Closes

2027-03-10

More macro markets

• Labour loses 10% of its UK polling lead to Greens by 2027 — 68% Yes
• S&P 500 surpasses 6,500 by December 2027 — 70% Yes
• Highway Trust Fund revenue loss triggers 2027 infrastructure cuts — 60% Yes
• Australian coal exports to China fall 15% by Q4 2026 due to supply disruptions — 60% Yes
• Iran exports LPG volume rises 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
• US dollar strengthens against yuan by 5% within 6 months — 70% Yes
• Foreign institutional outflows from Japan equities exceed $50B by 2026 Q3 — 72% Yes
• NY budget passes with pension reform by June 30 — 70% Yes

Browse all macro markets →