Raffensperger loses Georgia GOP primary to MAGA-backed candidate

Brad Raffensperger, who defied Trump in 2020, will fail to secure the Republican nomination for Georgia governor in the June 2026 primary. His strategy of avoiding direct confrontation with MAGA while emphasizing traditional conservatism will be outpaced by more populist opponents endorsed by Trump or aligned with the movement.

Implied probability (Yes)

70%