Black voter turnout in Tennessee declines by 15% in 2026 midterms vs 2028

The proposed redistricting changes in Tennessee are expected to reduce Black voter influence, leading to a measurable drop in Black voter turnout compared to the 2022 midterms. Historical patterns suggest a 10-20% decline in turnout in areas where redistricting reduces minority representation.

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2028-12-31