Will the United States' crude oil production exceed 14 million barrels per day (bpd) for any single month in 2026?

Continued volatility in oil prices often incentivizes increased production from major producers like the US. While 14 million bpd is a high target, technological advancements and market conditions could push production to new records, especially if prices remain elevated.

Implied probability (Yes)

30%

Closes

2026-12-31