Will the United States and Iran sign a new nuclear agreement or formally re-enter the JCPOA by December 31, 2028?
Resolves: YES if the United States and Iran publicly announce and sign a new nuclear agreement or formally re-enter the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) by December 31, 2024. NO otherwise.
Will the United States and Iran sign a new nuclear agreement or forma…
Market overview
The market's reaction is based on 'expectations over an Iran deal.' This question directly addresses the underlying cause of those expectations. A formal agreement would likely have significant and lasting impacts on oil markets and geopolitics.
Politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 30%
- Closes
- 2030-08-23
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the United States and Iran publicly announce and sign a new nuclear agreement or formally re-enter the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) by December 31, 2024. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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