El Obeid displaced surpass 400,000 by end 2026
Resolves: UN or Sudanese government reports >400,000 displaced in El Obeid by Dec 31, 2026.
user-generated· event
El Obeid displaced surpass 400,000 by end 2026
Market overview
Cumulative displaced in El Obeid exceeds 400,000 per UN or government count.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
UN or Sudanese government reports >400,000 displaced in El Obeid by Dec 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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