Will the People's Bank of China (PBOC) announce a nationwide policy allowing all commercial banks to offer higher rates on dollar deposits by December 31, 2024?

The headline suggests a limited, perhaps experimental, allowance for some banks. A nationwide policy would indicate a broader shift in China's financial strategy regarding dollar liquidity. This question probes whether the current limited allowance will expand to a full policy change.

Implied probability (Yes)

35%

Closes

2026-09-03