Progressive endorsements fail to sway 2028 primary outcomes
Resolves: Fewer than 40% of Democratic primary candidates endorsed by progressive groups in 2026-2027 win their party's nomination by March 31, 2028.
user-generated· event
Progressive endorsements fail to sway 2028 primary outcomes
Market overview
By March 2028, fewer than 40% of progressive-endorsed candidates in contested primaries will secure nominations.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2028-03-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Fewer than 40% of Democratic primary candidates endorsed by progressive groups in 2026-2027 win their party's nomination by March 31, 2028.
Source: user-generated
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