Colombia raises coffee export tariffs to retaliate by August 2026

If the U.S.-Colombia tariff dispute escalates, Colombia will implement additional export tariffs on coffee shipments to the U.S. by August 2026. This move would further restrict supply and likely push Arabica prices above $3.50 per pound.

commodities · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2026-08-15

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• Colombia exports 15% less coffee by October 2026 due to US tariff dispute — 75% Yes
• Arabica coffee futures contract at $3.20 by September 2026 — 75% Yes
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