Will the United States and Iran sign a formal ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?

The headline suggests optimism regarding U.S.-Iran ceasefire talks. While optimism is present, reaching a formal agreement often involves complex negotiations and can be subject to setbacks. The history of U.S.-Iran relations is fraught with tension, making a quick resolution unlikely.

Implied probability (Yes)

30%

Closes

2029-08-27