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OpenAI hardware sales exceed $1B by Dec 2026

Resolves: OpenAI reports hardware revenue exceeding $1 billion in its 2026 financial disclosures or equivalent official release by December 31, 2026.

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user-generated· legal

OpenAI hardware sales exceed $1B by Dec 2026

Market overview

OpenAI's hardware division, led by former Apple executive Tang Tan, will surpass $1 billion in annual sales by December 31, 2026. This prediction is based on OpenAI's recent $6.4 billion acquisition of Jony Ive's IO Products and the hiring of Apple staff to accelerate hardware development.

legal prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

OpenAI reports hardware revenue exceeding $1 billion in its 2026 financial disclosures or equivalent official release by December 31, 2026.

Source: user-generated

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