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AI semiconductor index outperforms Nasdaq by Q4 2026

Resolves: The SOX Index closes 2026-12-31 at a higher percentage gain than the Nasdaq Composite over the same period.

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AI semiconductor index outperforms Nasdaq by Q4 2026

Market overview

The PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index (SOX) is expected to outperform the Nasdaq Composite by year-end due to AI-driven semiconductor demand. DeepSeek’s success will likely sustain investor interest.

price prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
65%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

The SOX Index closes 2026-12-31 at a higher percentage gain than the Nasdaq Composite over the same period.

Source: user-generated

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