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user-generated· macro

Fed cuts rates by 50bps within 6 months of PCE revision

The PCE revision on September 30, 2026, will show core inflation ~1.2pp lower than current readings. Markets anticipate the Fed cutting rates to 4.25-4.50% by March 2027, with a 50bps reduction likely within 6 months post-revision.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
72%
Closes
2027-03-31

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