Will the number of reported Ebola cases in eastern DRC decrease by at least 50% by October 31, 2019, compared to August 2019 figures?

Rebel attacks directly impede public health efforts, making it harder to track and treat cases. A significant reduction would indicate improved security or more effective, albeit challenging, health interventions. This question resolves YES if the total reported Ebola cases in eastern DRC for October 2019 are less than half of the total reported cases for August 2019.

Implied probability (Yes)

40%

Closes

2026-09-02