Will the average price of iron ore (62% Fe, CFR China) fall below $100 per dry metric ton for at least 30 consecutive days by June 30, 2028?

Increased scrutiny and potential issues with new iron ore products from major suppliers like Fortescue, combined with broader market dynamics, could put downward pressure on iron ore prices. While not directly caused by this single event, it contributes to market sentiment. This question gauges the broader market impact if supply quality becomes a more widespread concern.

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2030-08-31