user-generated· World
Will there be at least one Category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic basin…
Market overview
The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season has already begun with Isaias. This question asks if the season will produce a Category 5 storm, which are rare but devastating. Historically, about one Category 5 hurricane forms every 2-3 years.
World prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 30%
- Closes
- 2026-12-01
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the National Hurricane Center (NHC) officially classifies at least one Atlantic hurricane as a Category 5 (157 mph or higher sustained winds) at any point during the 2026 hurricane season. NO otherwise.
Source: user-generated
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