Turkey receives first F-35 delivery by November 2027

If the sale is approved by December 2026, delivery timelines for advanced fighter jets typically span 12–18 months. Turkey’s urgency and U.S. logistical capacity suggest initial deliveries could occur within this window, assuming no further legal or political delays.

event · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2027-11-30

More event markets

• Scottish government orders Higher Maths exam review by November 2027 — 75% Yes
• Chuck Edwards resigns before probe concludes — 70% Yes
• Sudan overtakes Syria as top country for conflict-driven internal displacement — 85% Yes
• Witkoff Rubio-Qatar Deal Collapses Due to Geopolitical Risks — 60% Yes
• Belgium advances past U.S. in World Cup Round of 16 — 70% Yes
• Kevin Kiley's petition fails to secure 218 signatures by end of 2026 — 65% Yes
• Frederica Wilson loses 2026 Florida primary bid — 62% Yes
• Eurovision bans Israel for 2028 due to ongoing Gaza conflict — 55% Yes

Browse all event markets →