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Will a top 10 cryptocurrency (excluding stablecoins) by market cap as of January 1, 2028, cease to exist or be delisted from all major exchanges by December 31, 2028?

Resolves: Any cryptocurrency that was in the top 10 by market capitalization (excluding stablecoins like USDT, USDC) on January 1, 2024, is no longer actively traded on at least three major cryptocurrency exchanges (e.g., Binance, Coinbase, Kraken) or its development is officially abandoned by December 31, 2025.

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user-generated· Technology

Will a top 10 cryptocurrency (excluding stablecoins) by market cap as…

Market overview

The 'worst crypto winter ever' could lead to the collapse of prominent projects. This question assesses the survival risk of established cryptocurrencies, excluding stablecoins which have different risk profiles. The current top 10 are generally considered robust, but a severe winter could challenge even them.

Technology prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
20%
Closes
2030-08-31

About this prediction

How this resolves

Any cryptocurrency that was in the top 10 by market capitalization (excluding stablecoins like USDT, USDC) on January 1, 2024, is no longer actively traded on at least three major cryptocurrency exchanges (e.g., Binance, Coinbase, Kraken) or its development is officially abandoned by December 31, 2025.

Source: user-generated

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