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Tariff refunds exceed $50B by March 2027

Resolves: Official Treasury data shows total tariff refunds paid to importers since February 2026 exceed $50 billion.

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user-generated· event

Tariff refunds exceed $50B by March 2027

Market overview

U.S. Treasury returns at least $50 billion in tariff duties to importers as refunds.

event prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
45%
Closes
2027-03-01

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Official Treasury data shows total tariff refunds paid to importers since February 2026 exceed $50 billion.

Source: user-generated

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