Will the Democratic candidate win the Georgia special election runoff for David Scott's House seat?
Resolves: YES if the declared winner of the special election runoff is the Democratic Party candidate. NO if the declared winner is a candidate from any other party.
user-generated· Politics
Will the Democratic candidate win the Georgia special election runoff…
Market overview
This question assesses the outcome of the special election runoff. Given that David Scott, a Democrat, currently holds the seat in Georgia's 13th congressional district, which is a reliably Democratic district, it is highly probable that a Democratic candidate will retain the seat.
Politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 95%
- Closes
- 2026-11-23
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the declared winner of the special election runoff is the Democratic Party candidate. NO if the declared winner is a candidate from any other party.
Source: user-generated
More Politics markets
- JD Vance partnership or acquisition announced? — 44% Yes
- Virgin Galactic major announcement before March 2027? — 36% Yes
- Will BRICS dominate headlines in the next 12-18 months? — 33% Yes
- Alabama and South Carolina will eliminate at least one Black-majority seat by 2027 — 78% Yes
- Will Germany hold a federal election before September 21, 2027? — 20% Yes
- AIPAC-backed candidate wins Kentucky primary — 70% Yes
- UK Prime Minister resigns within 12 months due to Reform UK pressure — 55% Yes
- Mamdani wins primary challenge against Hochul ally by August 2026 — 55% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…