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user-generated· macro

South Africa's GDP growth to drop by 0.5% due to flood damage

The ongoing floods in Western and Northern Cape provinces, with over 200mm of rain predicted, will disrupt agriculture, infrastructure, and logistics. Economic assessments indicate a 0.5% GDP contraction due to flood-related losses in Q2-Q3 2026.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
72%

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