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Federal student loan default rates will exceed 15% by 2026

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user-generated· regulatory

Federal student loan default rates will exceed 15% by 2026

Market overview

The resumption of wage garnishment and rising delinquency rates signal increasing defaults. With economic pressures mounting, federal student loan default rates are projected to rise to 15.5% or higher by the end of 2026, up from 11.3% in 2023.

regulatory prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
68%

Source: user-generated

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