SEC reverses stance and classifies $TRUMP as security by Dec 2026
Resolves: SEC issues a formal statement or rule explicitly classifying $TRUMP or similar memecoins as securities under the Howey Test before December 31, 2026.
user-generated· regulatory
SEC reverses stance and classifies $TRUMP as security by Dec 2026
Market overview
$TRUMP memecoin's massive losses and political ties will force the SEC to reverse its current non-regulatory stance. Nansen's analysis and political pressure will likely push the agency to classify the token as a security before year-end.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
SEC issues a formal statement or rule explicitly classifying $TRUMP or similar memecoins as securities under the Howey Test before December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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