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user-generated· macro

Sudan's GDP contracts by more than 5% in 2026

Sudan's GDP will shrink by at least 5% in 2026 due to prolonged conflict, drone strikes, and infrastructure destruction in El Obeid and other key regions. The World Bank or IMF will publish revised GDP growth estimates confirming the contraction by year-end.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
85%
Closes
2026-12-31

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