Morocco arrests 200+ in next mass crossing attempt
Resolves: Any official Moroccan or Spanish source reports ≥200 arrests in one day at Ceuta border crossing attempt.
user-generated· event
Morocco arrests 200+ in next mass crossing attempt
Market overview
Moroccan police arrest at least 200 people in a single day attempting to enter Ceuta by 2026-12-31.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Any official Moroccan or Spanish source reports ≥200 arrests in one day at Ceuta border crossing attempt.
Source: user-generated
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