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US government imposes export restrictions on AI model weights

Resolves: US government announces or enacts new export restrictions specifically targeting AI model weights to China.

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user-generated· regulatory

US government imposes export restrictions on AI model weights

Market overview

By 2027-03-31, US imposes new export controls on frontier AI model weights to China.

regulatory prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
70%
Closes
2027-03-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

US government announces or enacts new export restrictions specifically targeting AI model weights to China.

Source: user-generated

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