Deep-sea mining bans increase by 50% globally by 2027
Resolves: At least 50% of countries with deep-sea mining operations or exploration licenses adopt new bans or moratoriums, as tracked by the International Seabed Authority and UNEP.
user-generated· regulatory
Deep-sea mining bans increase by 50% globally by 2027
Market overview
Given the IUCN's warning about deep-sea mining threats to 66% of hydrothermal vent mollusks, nations will accelerate bans or moratoriums on deep-sea mining in 2026–2027. The EU and Pacific Island states are likely to lead the push, pressuring the International Seabed Authority to adopt stricter regulations.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
At least 50% of countries with deep-sea mining operations or exploration licenses adopt new bans or moratoriums, as tracked by the International Seabed Authority and UNEP.
Source: user-generated
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