OpenAI’s IPO will occur before December 31 2026
Resolves: OpenAI completes an initial public offering of its common stock on a major U.S. exchange before December 31, 2026, as evidenced by a definitive prospectus filing and SEC approval.
user-generated· earnings
OpenAI’s IPO will occur before December 31 2026
Market overview
OpenAI confidentially filed its prospectus in June 2026 and is reportedly delaying the IPO until next year, but intense revenue pressure and competitive threats may force an accelerated timeline. Brockman’s consolidation of leadership signals urgency to monetize and list.
earnings prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
OpenAI completes an initial public offering of its common stock on a major U.S. exchange before December 31, 2026, as evidenced by a definitive prospectus filing and SEC approval.
Source: user-generated
More earnings markets
- Will cash burn exceed $5M in Q4? — 65% Yes
- Will Venyra beat Q4 2026 revenue consensus of $230M? — 85% Yes
- Will Nuburu secure emergency financing by Q3 end? — 35% Yes
- Will Everpure, Inc. report a non-GAAP EPS beat for the quarter ended June 30, 2026? — 50% Yes
- Will KR miss Q4 operating margin guidance? — 65% Yes
- Will George Risk report Q4 2026 revenue above $13M? — 85% Yes
- Will DCI beat Q4 EPS consensus of $0.88? — 65% Yes
- Will inventory days decrease below 70 by year-end? — 40% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…