Mike Johnson ousted as House Speaker by end of 2026
Resolves: Mike Johnson ceases to be Speaker of the House of Representatives by a formal vote or resignation before December 31, 2026.
user-generated· leadership
Mike Johnson ousted as House Speaker by end of 2026
Market overview
Mike Johnson's inability to manage his caucus and repeated failed rule votes will lead to a successful motion to vacate the chair by conservative Republicans before December 31, 2026. Growing frustration among rank-and-file members over legislative paralysis creates sufficient momentum for a leadership challenge.
leadership prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Mike Johnson ceases to be Speaker of the House of Representatives by a formal vote or resignation before December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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